Jacksonville, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

541
FXUS64 KLZK 250702
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
102 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1250 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

-Record setting warmth continuing through the rest of the week and
 extending into this weekend

-Rain chances increasing late weekend, with much cooler
 temperatures settling into the region through early next week

-Temperatures moderating towards normal levels by the middle of
 next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1250 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

Abnormally warm temperatures will continue through Christmas Day
and beyond as a historically strong ridge climatologicalspeaking
for this time of year continues to strengthen over central CONUS.
Afternoon high temperatures will continue to range from the mid
to upper 70s today and tomorrow, with even warmer temperatures
into the 80s possible Friday and Saturday. Not surprisingly, daily
high temperature records across the state will be challenged
through Saturday.

A pattern change is set for Sunday as a much colder polar airmass
surges southward across the eastern half of CONUS. The low center
is currently pegged to track over the Great Lakes region, but a
frontal band extending southwestward will bring increasing rain
chances for Sunday. Based on previous model guidance, this upper
level trough progression continues to slow, resulting in the
current forecast warming on Sunday as highs still remain in the
70s as the frontal passage is timing-wise more for the evening to
overnight hours Sunday into Monday. Better moisture return is
trending further north which would indicate higher rain chances
and amounts across the state, which is currently reflected in the
forecast where PoP`s are up to the 50-80% range and amounts up to
one half inch.

Much colder temperatures back to below normal levels by up to 10
degrees will then linger across the state through the early
portions of the week after the frontal passage. The weather
pattern will then gradually modify as strong northwesterly flow
aloft persists through the middle of next week before modifying
into more zonal flow with gradual warming going through the end of
next week.

The main uncertainties heading into the middle to latter portions
of next week will be the progression of the cutoff Pacific low
that`ll linger for several days next week. This will impact the
timing of the next precipitation chances and temperature trends,
which currently may be delayed until the weekend of Jan 3-4.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 PM CST Wed Dec 24 2025

Mix of VFR/MVFR conditions are expected initially, becoming mainly
MVFR/IFR with decreasing VIS and possibly low-stratus CIGs by
sunrise. Winds will be light and variable overnight. Conds should
improve by 15/16z as FG dissipates and CIGs heights increase.
SW winds between 10-25 kts are possible on Thursday, especially
during the early afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     78  62  81  57 /   0  10   0   0
Camden AR         77  60  79  60 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       79  63  80  55 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    77  62  80  60 /   0  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  76  61  79  59 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     78  62  80  62 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      78  64  81  61 /   0  10   0   0
Mountain Home AR  78  59  80  52 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        78  63  79  58 /   0  10   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     77  61  79  60 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   80  60  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         76  60  80  56 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      77  61  79  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...70